Business of Beauty

Why Some Celebrity Beauty Brands Survive While Others Collapse

Scarlett Johansson's The Outset is shutting down after four years. Circana and A&M analysts explain why efficacy, not fame, decides which celebrity beauty brands survive.

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What Makes a Celebrity Beauty Brand Stick?
What Makes a Celebrity Beauty Brand Stick?AI-generated

The takeaway

  • Scarlett Johansson's The Outset is winding down roughly four-and-a-half years after its March 2022 launch.
  • Rare Beauty posted $400 million in net sales in 2025; E.l.f. Beauty acquired Rhode in a $1 billion deal.
  • Per Circana, celebrity brands make up only about 1 percent of U.S. prestige sales in hair, makeup and skin care, versus roughly 45 percent for makeup artist brands in prestige makeup.

Scarlett Johansson's The Outset has "made the decision to wind down operations," roughly four-and-a-half years after its March 2022 debut, according to a statement on the brand's website.

The closure of the clean skin care brand — which temporarily sold at Sephora and offered products including a $34 Exfoliating Caffeine facial scrub and $68 Total Clarity Dark Spot Serum — follows a string of other recent shutdowns in the celebrity beauty category.

In February, Gwen Stefani's Gxve Beauty, which also launched in 2022 and briefly sold its makeup at Sephora, ceased operations. In 2025, Kate Moss' Cosmoss skin care and wellness line — another 2022 launch — entered liquidation proceedings. Drew Barrymore's Maesa-incubated mass makeup brand, Flower Beauty, shuttered after nearly 13 years.

The rest of the category is becoming increasingly nuanced. Some brands sit in limbo: Gwyneth Paltrow's Goop restructured in 2024 to focus more on fashion, beauty and food. Even Rihanna's Fenty Beauty, once the crown jewel of celebrity beauty after its 2017 debut, has slowed as newer players took share — though its recently revamped foundation formula with enhanced shade inclusivity could change that trajectory.

At the other end, Hailey Bieber's Rhode, Selena Gomez's Rare Beauty, Lady Gaga's Haus Labs and Beyoncé's Cécred are growing in both business and buzz.

"At the end of the day, what separates the winning brands from the brands that struggle is that, yes, the celebrity will get the attention, but [product] efficacy is going to win the game," said Larissa Jensen, senior vice president and beauty industry adviser at Circana.

Rare, known for its signature Soft Pinch liquid blush, clocked $400 million in net sales in 2025, according to WWD's annual ranking of the Top 100 Beauty Companies. E.l.f. Beauty acquired Rhode last year in a $1 billion deal; the brand has since broken records at Sephora in the U.K., after becoming the biggest brand launch in history at Sephora North America and Mecca Australia.

Haus Labs, which relaunched at Sephora in 2022 after a slow start, has reportedly grown double-digits annually. In Ulta Beauty's most recent earnings, the retailer credited exclusive brand Cécred as part of the lineup driving healthy growth in prestige hair care and treatments.

"Celebrity can still be a powerful element for a beauty brand, but it increasingly serves more as an acquisition advantage and no longer a full business model," said Manola Soler of Alvarez & Marsal's Consumer and Retail Group. "A well-known founder can generate awareness, earned media, and initial trial overnight. What they cannot guarantee is a second or third purchase."

Repeat purchases and continued customer acquisition, analysts say, depend on consistent product innovation, timely marketing activations, retail expansions and other brand-building efforts.

"The key to longevity [in celebrity beauty] is the same as the key to longevity in any brand at all: Know your customer and make good stuff they want to use over and over again," said Allison Collins, cofounder of advisory firm The Consumer Collective.

Andrew Stanleick, managing director and operating partner of Gauge Capital and former CEO of Kylie Cosmetics and Kim Kardashian's KKW beauty brands at Coty, agreed.

"A celebrity can get a brand noticed, but it cannot make customers come back. Fundamentally, the product just has to deliver," he said, adding that the celebrity must also stay genuinely involved over time. "[Kim and Kylie] were really involved in the business, the product development, the innovation, and it was authentic and genuine. Consumers see that."

For all their cultural impact, celebrity beauty brands remain an objectively small slice of beauty sales. Circana data shows they are most pronounced in fragrance, making up roughly 5 percent of U.S. prestige fragrance sales, while in hair, makeup and skin care, celebrity brands comprise around 1 percent of prestige sales per category.

Still, these brands matter for the excitement they generate and, in select cases, the innovation that ripples beyond them. Rare's liquid blush catalyzed its category when it launched in 2020. Rhode's peptide lip treatment — and subsequent iPhone lip case — spawned numerous dupes. Data from CreatorIQ shows Rhode and Rare regularly rank as top-10 performers across beauty overall by monthly EMV.

"There's always going to be a place for celebrity brands," said Jensen, noting the category stays healthy thanks to a few players with staying power and a reliable stream of new entrants. Madison Beer, Lindsay Lohan and Tate McRae have all teased new beauty ventures recently, following Megan Thee Stallion's July fragrance launch with Coty and Olivia Jade's O.Piccola makeup brand debut in May.

Celebrity brands still pale next to expert-led ones. Makeup artist brands account for roughly 45 percent of U.S. prestige makeup sales, and salon brands about 80 percent of prestige hair sales, per Circana — and despite that size, both are growing much faster than celebrity brands.

"Usually, when a category is so big, it's harder to grow — but [these categories] are all growing," Jensen said.

The lines are blurring. Artist-founders like Mary Phillips and Hung Vanngo are building sizable online followings and becoming influencers in their own right, while influencer-founders like Alix Earle and Mikayla Nogueira edge toward celebrity status.

"Celebrity beauty is here to stay, but I do think we will continue to see a higher bar for new entrants and consumers holding existing brands to high standards," said Soler. "A good way to think about it is: Would people still buy these products if the celebrity name came off the label tomorrow? Brands with longevity have built assortments and brand stories strong enough to make that answer a 'yes.'"

Source: WWD

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Grace Kim

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Correspondent covering media and advertising at Eurasian Beauty Journal.

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